Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka

Match Analysis & Predictions

Japan: J1 League

Wed, 21st Oct, 2026 • 10:00 Regular Season - 11
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka
17th in table
WLWLL
- VS -
Upcoming
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
18th in table
WLLWD

Expert Prediction · Double Chance

1X @ 1.44 (78% chance)

Double chance : Avispa Fukuoka or draw
78% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

2.60 36% implied

Draw

3.25 29% implied

Away Win

2.70 35% implied
Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10games
5Avispa Fukuoka wins
2Draws
3Gamba Osaka wins
2.8Goals per game
70%Both scored
70%Over 2.5
22 Apr 2026J1 League Gamba Osaka 1 - 2 Avispa Fukuoka
21 Mar 2026J1 League Avispa Fukuoka 2 - 2 Gamba Osaka
30 Nov 2025J1 League Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 0 Gamba Osaka
22 Feb 2025J1 League Gamba Osaka 2 - 1 Avispa Fukuoka
24 Aug 2024J1 League Gamba Osaka 2 - 2 Avispa Fukuoka
03 May 2024J1 League Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 0 Gamba Osaka
11 Nov 2023J1 League Gamba Osaka 1 - 2 Avispa Fukuoka
03 Jun 2023J1 League Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 2 Gamba Osaka
31 Aug 2022J1 League Avispa Fukuoka 0 - 1 Gamba Osaka
19 Mar 2022J1 League Gamba Osaka 2 - 3 Avispa Fukuoka

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 10721 25:6 +19 23 WWWWL
2 Machida Zelvia 10721 25:10 +15 23 WWLDW
3 FC Tokyo 10721 21:8 +13 23 WWWWW
4 Vissel Kobe 10712 17:9 +8 22 WLWWW
5 Kashiwa Reysol 10703 22:17 +5 21 LWWWL
6 Kashima 10613 21:16 +5 19 WWDLL
7 Kawasaki Frontale 10442 21:16 +5 16 WLDWW
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 10442 13:9 +4 16 DDWDW
9 Urawa 10505 17:21 -4 15 WLWLW
10 Shimizu S-pulse 10424 10:11 -1 14 DWWWL
11 Fagiano Okayama 10415 12:15 -3 13 LLLWW
12 Nagoya Grampus 10406 12:16 -4 12 WWLLL
13 Cerezo Osaka 10334 9:16 -7 12 LDDLD
14 Mito Hollyhock 10235 12:14 -2 9 LLLLD
15 V-varen Nagasaki 10235 11:18 -7 9 LDDWL
16 Kyoto Sanga 10226 11:19 -8 8 LLWLL
17 Avispa Fukuoka 10217 11:16 -5 7 LWLLD
18 Gamba Osaka 10145 10:18 -8 7 DLLLL
19 JEF United Chiba 10136 8:19 -11 6 DDLDW
20 Tokyo Verdy 10046 4:18 -14 4 LLLDD

Top scorers

J1 League
1 Léo CearáKashima 12goals 0assists 9apps
2 M. NagakuraFC Tokyo 7goals 4assists 10apps
3 Y. SegawaKashiwa Reysol 7goals 2assists 10apps
4 A. SuzukiSanfrecce Hiroshima 7goals 4assists 10apps
5 MarcinhoKawasaki Frontale 6goals 2assists 10apps
6 K. TanimuraYokohama F. Marinos 6goals 1assists 10apps
7 Rafael EliasKyoto Sanga 5goals 3assists 9apps
8 A. ČavrićKashima 5goals 1assists 10apps
9 A. WatanabeMito Hollyhock 5goals 0assists 8apps
10 Y. WakizakaKawasaki Frontale 4goals 3assists 10apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Avispa Fukuoka Draw Gamba Osaka
Value spotted: Avispa Fukuoka win at 2.60 (model 50% vs market 36%)

Most likely scores

1-1 11.6%
1-0 10.5%
2-1 9.6%
2-0 8.7%
0-1 7%
0-0 6.4%

Expected goals: 1.65 Avispa Fukuoka · 1.1 Gamba Osaka

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams score54%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
80%
Form
20%
60%
Attack
40%
56%
Defence
44%
67%
Goal model
33%
71%
Head to head
29%
56%
Goals
44%
65%
Overall
35%

Recent form

2 W 1 D 7 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026J1 League Machida Zelvia 3 - 0 Avispa Fukuoka L
14 Oct 2026J-League Cup Sagan Tosu 2 - 1 Avispa Fukuoka L
10 Oct 2026J1 League Avispa Fukuoka 2 - 1 Fagiano Okayama W
07 Oct 2026Emperor Cup Avispa Fukuoka 0 - 1 Yokohama FC L
29 Sep 2026J-League Cup Osaka 1 - 2 Avispa Fukuoka W
19 Sep 2026J1 League Avispa Fukuoka 0 - 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L
12 Sep 2026J1 League Shimizu S-pulse 1 - 0 Avispa Fukuoka L
05 Sep 2026J1 League Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 1 Mito Hollyhock D
02 Sep 2026J1 League Avispa Fukuoka 2 - 3 Urawa L
29 Aug 2026J1 League Kyoto Sanga 2 - 1 Avispa Fukuoka L
3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026J1 League Shimizu S-pulse 2 - 2 Gamba Osaka D
13 Oct 2026AFC Champions League Elite Newcastle Jets 1 - 3 Gamba Osaka W
09 Oct 2026J1 League Kashima 2 - 0 Gamba Osaka L
03 Oct 2026J-League Cup Kashiwa Reysol 5 - 4 Gamba Osaka L
23 Sep 2026Emperor Cup Gamba Osaka 5 - 0 Tokushima Vortis W
20 Sep 2026J1 League Gamba Osaka 0 - 1 Vissel Kobe L
15 Sep 2026AFC Champions League Elite Gamba Osaka 4 - 1 Công An Nhân Dân W
12 Sep 2026J1 League Gamba Osaka 0 - 2 FC Tokyo L
06 Sep 2026J1 League JEF United Chiba 2 - 0 Gamba Osaka L
02 Sep 2026J1 League V-varen Nagasaki 2 - 2 Gamba Osaka D

Season numbers

J1 League 2027

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
5
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
5
2
0-15'
3
2
16-30'
2
0
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
4
6
61-75'
0
6
76-90'
7
Avispa Fukuoka Gamba Osaka

Side by side

Avispa Fukuoka Gamba Osaka
10 Played 10
2 Won 1
1 Drawn 4
7 Lost 5
1.1 Goals scored per game 1
1.6 Goals conceded per game 1.8
1.3 / 0.8 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 1
1 Clean sheets 1
4 Failed to score 5
1 Longest winning run 1
3-0 Biggest win 4-3
2-3 Biggest defeat 0-2
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka (H) 21 Oct
Tokyo Verdy (A) 24 Oct
JEF United Chiba (A) 01 Nov
V-varen Nagasaki (H) 07 Nov
Kawasaki Frontale (A) 21 Nov
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka (A) 21 Oct
Kyoto Sanga (H) 24 Oct
Buriram United (H) 28 Oct
Machida Zelvia (A) 01 Nov
Pohang Steelers (A) 04 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Avispa Fukuoka 2.60 38% implied
Draw 3.25 31% implied
Gamba Osaka 2.70 37% implied
Avispa Fukuoka 1.83 55% implied
Gamba Osaka 1.83 55% implied
Over 0.5 1.05 95% implied
Under 0.5 11.00 9% implied
Over 1.5 1.28 78% implied
Under 1.5 3.50 29% implied
Over 2.5 1.95 51% implied
Under 2.5 1.85 54% implied
Over 3.5 3.40 29% implied
Under 3.5 1.30 77% implied
Over 4.5 7.00 14% implied
Under 4.5 1.10 91% implied
Avispa Fukuoka/Draw 13.00 8% implied Our tip
Avispa Fukuoka/Gamba Osaka 26.00 4% implied
Draw/Gamba Osaka 6.50 15% implied
Draw/Draw 5.50 18% implied
Avispa Fukuoka/Avispa Fukuoka 4.00 25% implied
Draw/Avispa Fukuoka 6.00 17% implied
Gamba Osaka/Avispa Fukuoka 26.00 4% implied
Gamba Osaka/Draw 13.00 8% implied
Gamba Osaka/Gamba Osaka 4.33 23% implied
Yes 1.70 59% implied
No 2.05 49% implied
1:1 6.00 17% implied
1:0 9.00 11% implied
0:1 9.50 11% implied
2:1 10.00 10% implied
0:0 10.00 10% implied
1:2 10.00 10% implied
2:0 13.00 8% implied
2:2 13.00 8% implied
Avispa Fukuoka/Draw 1.44 69% implied Our tip
Avispa Fukuoka/Gamba Osaka 1.33 75% implied
Draw/Gamba Osaka 1.50 67% implied
Avispa Fukuoka 3.20 31% implied
Draw 2.20 45% implied
Gamba Osaka 3.25 31% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka: preview and prediction

Avispa Fukuoka host Gamba Osaka in the Japan J1 League (Regular Season - 11) on Wednesday, 21st October 2026 at 10:00 at Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka. Avispa Fukuoka sit 17th in the table and Gamba Osaka 18th. Both sides are level on 7 points.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
17 Avispa Fukuoka 10217 11:16 -5 7
18 Gamba Osaka 10145 10:18 -8 7

Full J1 League standings

Avispa Fukuoka are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-W-L-L). Gamba Osaka have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-W-D).

In the last 10 meetings, Avispa Fukuoka won 5, Gamba Osaka won 3 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 70% and over 2.5 goals in 70%.

Our goal model expects about 1.65 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.1 for Gamba Osaka. It gives Avispa Fukuoka the edge (50% home win, 24% draw, 25% away win), 52% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Verdict: our pick is Double Chance (1X) at odds of 1.44.

Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka FAQs

What is the best prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.44 odds).

Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka?

Avispa Fukuoka are favourites: our model gives Avispa Fukuoka 50%, the draw 24% and Gamba Osaka 25%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 54% chance in our model, and it happened in 70% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 21st October 2026 at 10:00 at Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka.

More J1 League Tips

12:00 FC Tokyo Kashiwa Reysol 1X 12:00 Kawasaki Frontale Vissel Kobe 1X 12:00 Kyoto Kashima Antlers X2 12:00 Nagoya Grampus Cerezo Osaka 1X 12:00 Okayama Mito 1X 12:00 Shimizu S-Pulse Machida X2